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2024-12-14 03:10:07

The 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission was held in Seoul, South Korea. On the 12th, Vice Minister of Commerce Li Fei co-chaired the 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission with Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jiang Renxian in Seoul, South Korea. The two sides exchanged views on deepening China-ROK industrial chain supply chain, trade and investment, regional and multilateral cooperation, pragmatically promoted related matters, and reached broad consensus.Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.Microsoft: The latest small language model PHI-4, which is specially used for complex reasoning, is introduced.


The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong stocks opened lower by 0.78%, the index of state-owned enterprises fell by 0.88%, and the branch index opened lower by 1.01%.Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".The United States said that the ceasefire agreement in Gaza was close to being reached, but Hamas didn't respond. On the 12th local time, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, held talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. After the talks, Sullivan told the media that he thought Netanyahu was ready to reach a ceasefire agreement with Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to US media reports on the 12th, sources said that the negotiating position of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) has softened, and it may agree to the temporary presence of Israeli troops in the Gaza after the ceasefire. However, Hamas has not yet responded to this news.


Foreign media: Trump "strongly opposes" Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack Russia's hinterland, and at the same time says that he will not give up Ukraine. According to Reuters's report, US President-elect Trump criticized Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack targets in Russia on the 12th local time, arguing that this has aggravated the escalation of the war between Russia and Ukraine. However, he also mentioned that he would not give up Ukraine. When talking about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Trump said in an interview, "What happened is crazy. This is crazy. I strongly object to launching missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing this? This will only escalate this war and make the situation worse. " According to the report, Trump hopes to end this "war" that lasted for nearly three years as soon as possible, but he is more cautious about revealing specific details. When asked if Kiev would cut its military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine if it did not agree to the peace agreement, Trump responded, "I think I have a very good plan to help Ukraine, but when I started to disclose this plan, it would almost become a worthless plan." In addition, when asked if he would give up Ukraine, Trump replied, "I hope to reach an agreement, and the only way to reach an agreement is not to give up." (World Wide Web)The negative spread of 10-year treasury bonds between China and the United States has expanded to more than 250BP, the largest since June 2002.Real estate stocks of Hong Kong stocks weakened, and Sunac China fell more than 4%. As of press time, Sunac China (01918.HK) fell by 4.03%, Rongxin China (03301.HK) fell by 3.85%, and Longhu Group (00960.HK) fell by 2.43%.

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